Gold Rally May Fade
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This week, the financial world watched closely as the price of gold displayed a temperament of resilience, remaining on an upward trajectory following the announcement of central bank purchases of the precious metalGold has been making incremental highs, with a notable peak reached on Thursday at approximately 2678. However, it’s important to recognize that this performance does not signify an entirely bullish market; rather, it reflects a strong trend amidst some volatilityThe unpredictable nature of today's job numbers presents further uncertainty regarding whether gold will sustain its rally or face downward pressureTonight’s revelation regarding non-farm payroll data may act as a pivotal moment for gold’s performance.
Amidst these movements in precious metals, other economic activities are also commanding attentionReports suggest discussions surrounding the declaration of a national economic emergency, potentially paving the way for imposing universal tariffs targeting both allies and rivalsAs a result, investors are eagerly anticipating Friday’s release of the U.S. non-farm employment data, which is expected to provide insights into the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisionsAccording to a Reuters survey, after witnessing a surge of 227,000 job additions in November, December’s figures may exhibit an increase of around 160,000.
The U.S. dollar continues its ascent, bolstered by its inherent strength as it hovers around 109.2. Amid these fluctuations in currencies, gold retains its distinctively bullish trend despite not following a purely one-sided bullish channelGiven its impressive performance, traders are confronted with the challenge of aligning their strategies to capitalize on fluctuations
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For instance, those who short-sold gold at 2662 on Wednesday and 2671 on Thursday enjoyed substantial profitsHowever, the market's dynamic nature necessitates caution: chasing after price increases can prove risky, particularly given the volatility in economic data announcements.Moreover, the silver market mirrors some of gold’s robustnessAfter reaching a high of 30.45, silver displayed corrections, settling closer to 30.1. While the market has not seen strong continuous trends, its resiliency suggests limited downside potential in the near termThus, at present, engaging in short positions seems unadvisable; waiting for the employment data release may provide clarityShould the data be supportive, maintaining levels above 30.5 could herald short-sell opportunities as correction phases emerge.
On another front, the crude oil market demonstrates an unyielding bullish momentumHaving escalated to 75.2 recently, crude oil experienced a minor pullback but has since resumed an upward trend, currently settling near 74. The prevailing bullish environment suggests that maintaining long positions remains favorableTraders should consider entering long positions near 72.8, as this point has showcased substantial supportAs the day progresses into Friday, focusing on the strengthening patterns above 75 could yield better insights, although conservative approaches leaving room for potential fluctuations next week would also be prudent.
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